(Providence, Rhode Island) – It’s back on the campaign trail this week as I head to Hofstra University on Long Island in New York for the second presidential debate between President Obama and Governor Romney. This on the heels of the vice presidential debate. There is so much going on. Here are this week’s observations:
Tie Goes to the Challenger – Who won this week’s vice presidential debate? I call it a tie on substance, but a slight edge to Paul Ryan on style. Each man had an objective. Biden had to go on the attack and get the Obama ticket back in the game. He succeeded. Paul Ryan had to show he had the knowledge, competence and demeanor to be president, if something happened to his boss. He succeeded. So the debate was a tie. But, Joe Biden’s unusual smiling, laughter, eye rolling and other odd behavior gives a slight overall edge to Ryan. In high school debate class they teach you that part of the score is on substance; and part of the score is on style. The same goes in the high-stakes presidential campaign! It’s Debate 101.
Does It Matter? – In the end, probably not. Look, people vote the top of the ticket, so this race is really between Obama and Romney. When was the last time you heard someone say, “Well, it’s a tough choice, but I’ve got to vote for Bob, because he has the better running mate?” It just doesn’t happen to any significant degree. A CNN post-debate poll of undecided voters said 28 percent were going to vote Republican based on Ryan’s performance, and 21 percent were going to vote Democratic based on Biden’s debate performance. Again, it’s an insignificant toss-up!
That’s Entertainment! – For the past three decades the vice presidential debate has been more entertaining political theater than it has been a deal breaker. Just ask Dan Quayle, Admiral Stockdale, and Sarah Palin. This one had its moments, too. Biden’s best lines were about Ryan applying for federal stimulus funds for firms in Wisconsin, even though Ryan opposed the Obama stimulus program. Ryan’s best moments were when he talked about Romney’s misspeaks, and nailed Biden for the many times he has had verbal miscues over the years. Again, cute and amusing moments from both sides, but not something that will decide the election by any stretch.
The Biggest Loser – Poor Big Bird, no one mentioned him in the VP debate. His 15 minutes of fame faded fast. I will miss him in this year’s remaining political discourse.
Curtain Call – Big Bird’s last official act was to appear in an Obama ad which mentioned Bernie Madoff, Ken Lay, and other Wall Street pirates, and suggested Mitt Romney was more interested in policing Sesame Street than Wall Street. It was cute, but the people who produce Sesame Street quickly asked that it be withdrawn. With a four dead Americans in Libya headlining the news, the cartoonish ad was in danger of trivializing a serious election and could have posed a major embarrassment to the White House. The ad vaporized.
Debate, Round 2 – Tuesday night should be interesting, with the “Town Hall” debate format. If I was coaching Mitt Romney, I would say he needs to hit hard on the Libya issue. This – and not the economy – in now the White House’s Achilles heal. People want answers; not a story line that changes daily. If I was I was coaching President Obama, I would say hit hard on the “47% speech” from Mitt Romney, especially since he’ll be talking to regular folks in the Town Hall format. President Obama made a major tactical error in the first debate by not hitting on Romney’s biggest weakness – that speech about not appealing to, or being interested in, those 47 percent of disaffected voters. It ought to be a great debate!
Who’s On First? – Well, for the first time in weeks, Mitt Romney is ahead in the national polls. In the latest Real Clear Politics composite poll, he has a lead of 1.3 percent. Last Thursday – before the debate – President Obama was ahead by 0.5 percent. It’s just that close. In the nine battleground states, Romney is only ahead in three; North Carolina, Colorado and Florida, although he is now tied in a couple of others. If the election was today, Romney would win the popular vote, but Obama would win the Electoral College. Can you say 2000, here we go again?
As always I welcome comments, opinions, disagreements and questions. Just click the comment button at www.MarkCurtisMedia.com.
jan gillis
6:54 am on Monday, October 15, 2012
Republicans Romney and Ryan need to be tougher. Ryan would have shut Biden and his shenanigans up in a nanosecond..by pausing, and then asking Biden what is funny about 4 people being murdered? What is funny about so many millions being out of work? etc..etc..
William F Horan
2:15 pm on Monday, October 15, 2012
RI GA Sen Paiva Weed Newport flip flopped & now is promoting an expansion of Casino gambling! sen-paivaweed@rilin.state.ri.us Classic bait and switch - she was against it before she was for it! Today here on Aquidneck Island we know how much money is siphoned off from the economy and the misery this creates. Yes, yet another form of economic terrorism. The justification offered is losses of excessive jobs to other locations are questioned! Why have we not seen this topic discussed in aol patch or challenged in The NDN? We need to reject this bad apple that continues to return to our ballot. Yes, vote against any and all casino gambling expansions .Yes, we Need to vote against any and all in the RI General Assembly (that now support this recently repeated attempted assault on our communities.). This will finally starve the beast of bloated big government in overreach. Even more tainted money is not a recipe for a solution to the RI economic misery. This money is a fuel for fraud, malfeasance and corruption must be limited and even reduced and accordingly drive this ship of fools out of office. Our communities and the state can then return to a wholesome environment and repair the damage done by these self serving pols. We must no longer fund our government and its excesses on the backs of the poor suspended in misery. The price is much too high and destroys the social fabric of our society. How many times must we vote and say no?
Leave RI
9:06 am on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
where was this in the topics..hang on let me scroll up...nope not there..not a fan of Paiva at all but you've gone into a stupor and left clicked the wrong article..
Small Change
4:48 pm on Monday, October 15, 2012
=President Obama made a major tactical error in the first debate by not hitting on Romney’s biggest weakness – that speech about not appealing to, or being interested in, those 47 percent of disaffected voters. It ought to be a great debate!=
Once again Mr. Romney's (secretly recorded from a private meeting) words are being deliberately misinterpreted. He did not say he didn't care about, or 'was not interested in' those not paying taxes. He said, to supporters, that as a candidate he couldn't worry about getting them to vote for him, because obviously they would not. Simple truth, hardly the 'gotcha' moment.
A few weeks before, when Mr. Obama gratuitously slapped down all small business owners as neither being very smart, hardworking, nor having accomplished anything, he clearly was doing the same thing - writing them off as potential voters because he knew he couldn't 'worry about them' voting for him. However he did it publicly, to intentionally be divisive and pit some citizens against others.
That would seem a sufficient response should Mr. Obama choose to press the issue.
Naome Lixes
12:30 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
The contract between the two Presidential campaigns has stripped the debate of any meaningful discussion of serious concerns - the sort of thing that would be on the front burner were any other parties represented.
I've said it before, this is Election Kabuki theater.
http://www.poynter.org/latest-news/mediawire/191756/whom-does-the-debates-commission-serve/
http://thepage.time.com/2012/10/15/the-2012-debates-memorandum-of-understanding-between-the-obama-and-romney-campaigns/
Debate won't again become revelatory of positions until the League of Women voters regains control as a neutral third party.
http://thepage.time.com/2012/10/15/the-2012-debates-memorandum-of-understanding-between-the-obama-and-romney-campaigns/
Still don't believe there's corporate influence behind American politics?
Just read the sponsor's list for the events.
We've been sold out - by BOTH sides.
Leave RI
9:13 am on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
o'drama..what a loser, and give away..give away cell phones, cheese, bad advice, healthcare for the won't workers, give country away, puts troops in more danger than the bad guys, at least let Biden run..he might not be smarter but he's at least more honest.
Naome Lixes
12:25 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Thag no like Scary man - "o'drama..what a loser, and give away..give away cell phones, cheese, bad..."
Better check your thorazine drip, you've gone dry.
Nice to have free therapy session for the delusional, innit?
Leave RI
12:46 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
okay Lix..take your midol and a nap..no no wait..this is your speed.."I know you are but what am I" no no wait "I'm rubber you're glue..." c'mon girly you're in some kind of Xanax funck.
Govstench
11:12 am on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
For those who are so concerned about their entitlement checks in Rhode Island, you had better wake up and see this mess for what it is. The Dems have spent this country dry and this state is going right along with it. We as a nation are going down the same road as Greece. We can't keep writing this debt off with borrowing or printing up more money. We continue to devalue our currency by 15% each year since this President took office. He has no vision, no plan for this economy - he is a socialist of the first order. People were duped by his Hope and Change pitch in 08 and now he is leaving you with change in your pocket. You have a progressive in the state house. Chafee is no independent! He has no idea what the working person is going through as he has never worked a day in his life, outside of shoeing a few horses, big deal!
Biden was a public disgrace with his lack of respect to his opponent. He has no class and needs to go. Can you imagine him being President? What a scary thought.
We have lousy leaders in government today and people need to root them out with new people, hopefully more qualified than what is sitting in there now. You have to ask the question, "are you better off now than four years ago?" Are your taxes high enough yet? The real pain of the mismanagement of this administration has yet to be felt - it is really going to hurt!
Ted Geisel
11:57 am on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Exactly, per person we owe more than Greece. http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/chart-america-s-capita-government-debt-worse-greece_631797.html
Greece owes $38,937 while we owe $44,215.
Spending other peoples money is fun while it lasts but it won't last forever. Some day it will dry up and the cuts will be much more painful.
Lorraine F
12:22 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Ted,
Don't get me wrong, I am totally against long term deficit spending. It is killing our country.
But you are missing a key component which is debt per capita as a percentage of per capita GDP.
Stated more simply, a rich family can afford a bigger mortgage than a poorer family.
The world bank shows the GDP per capita of Greece at $26,427 and per capita US at $48,442.
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
Thus we are still ahead of the average Greek family in the ability to carry the debt. But that is slowly evaporating as 3rd world countries catch up in taking our manufacturing jobs.
I just hope my democrat friends don't use this for bragging rights as this is merely a judgement on who is the best of all pigs.
Naome Lixes
12:22 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
We as a nation are going down the same road as Greece.
The Greek ship of state ran aground when the revenue stream dried up.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/sep/09/greece-tax-evasion-professional-classes
On the President - "...he is a socialist of the first order."
Big talk. Can you prove it? What is your definition of socialist?
"For those who are so concerned about their entitlement checks in Rhode Island, you had better wake up and see this mess for what it is." Quite right, it's a transfer of wealth from the young to the old.
To pay for bloated health care entitlements, we're allowing roads to crumble and
schools to stumble. The same kids entering a lousy job market are covering this.
http://www.economist.com/node/21563725
Or are we talking about the "wrong" kind of entitlements?
I'm guessing that the braintrust here is largely retired.
You lot have lived too long to be useful.
Naome Lixes
12:32 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
"...as this is merely a judgement on who is the best of all pigs..."
It's really just a beauty contest, going to the tallest.
Extra points for hair and makeup.
All ties decided by best suit and lapel pin.
Leave RI
12:43 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Stench..I disagree about Biden he has a lot of class.... albeit all low..as for leadership I would accept lousy rather than the zero we have now.
Small Change
12:57 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
=It's really just a beauty contest, going to the tallest. =
Fair point.
Did you know that from Martin VanBuren until Jimmy Carter the US simply elected the taller candidate president every election for 150 years?
Ted Geisel
1:25 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Lorraine I understand what you are saying but I think that is part of the problem. People are saying, look we can still borrow more, we've got good credit. Neither party has the solution it seems. Both seem to be more concerned with making the other side look bad than with fixing the problem.
Being in debt is not where the US should be, especially with China being such a large holder of our debt. Look at what is happening with the Senkaku islands and Japan. China is their largest debt holder and they are using that as a potential weapon against Japan. Being in debt to China puts us at risk.
It's cliche but like they say, you and I have to balance our budget and live within our means, so should the government.
Lorraine F
1:53 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Ted,
You and I are together on this. Accumulation of debt only goes on for so long and then it catches up. Both Dems and Reps share blame for where we are today.
Rags 1
2:09 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Economics 101
Wealth is not money, wealth is the movement of goods and services and the ability to export and import.
Our federal politicians did a great job in allowing (with tax credits) our jobs to go overseas like China and allowing us to import more than we export. Hence--an imbalance of payments and debt caused by borrowing and spending.
Anybody for Romney and Bain??
William F Horan
7:30 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
Measures of wealth must be factored by the velocity of exchange in the market place. What the government does to retard or advance this clearly has unintended consequences that unfortunately are most often negative.e.g. case in point the FRS banking cartel of which the US Federal government is a member. This group is responsible for a majority of the economic terrorism and seizure & redistribution of citizens wealth by several means (fiat debt bases currency monopoly) . OBTW in parallel having bought and paid for members in both major political parties and corrupted the rule of law. The Federal congress has been corrupted and the solutions must come from the towns and cities in each and every individual state. The beast must be starved before it can be once again managed by the people and their legacy constitution.
Naome Lixes
6:50 pm on Tuesday, October 16, 2012
"Being in debt is not where the US should be, especially with China being such a large holder of our debt. Look at what is happening with the Senkaku islands and Japan. China is their largest debt holder and they are using that as a potential weapon against Japan. Being in debt to China puts us at risk."
How so? Buying our debt means that they're suppressing their own currency value to keep their factories open. They've hitched their wagon to ours. The Chinese hold $1.69T in US Debt, which sounds immense, but isn't.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/19/business/china-largest-holder-of-us-debt-remains-tied-to-treasuries.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
It's something of a manufactured outrage, given that Japan (once beneficiary of a similar weak currency/strong manufacturing base) holds $1.083T in US Debt.
Of genuine concern should be how much debt the US banking system holds,
including the Fed (which we all know isn't part of the US Government - right?)
at $4.74T in US Debt. This means the banks hold tremendous sway over US
regulation of their activities - dumping Treasuries would raise the cost of borrowing.
My real concern is in the amount of US Debt held by Government institutions, including social security - $3.44T that's money the US Government effectively
owes to itself. This cheat allowed the Congress to skate on raising taxes by shifting the cost of unfunded wars and tax cuts.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/29880401/The_Biggest_Holders_of_US_Government_Debt
Naome Lixes
6:37 am on Wednesday, October 17, 2012
"What the government does to retard or advance this clearly has unintended consequences that unfortunately are most often negative.e.g. case in point the FRS banking cartel of which the US Federal government is a member."
It's a fair point, with parallels to chemotherapy drugs. Left untreated, the banks
suffered deposit runs that frequently lead to economic paralysis and real fear
among the saving public. There's no longer enough precious metal available
to keep in reserve as a standard - given the sheer volume of commerce.
That said, I feel that oversight of these institutions has been lax since 1984.
In particular, each asset bubble has a concurrent increase in the money supply.
This makes sense if value is in fact created.
It also makes sense to rapidly decrease the supply when assets crash.
The problem? Banks have added to their ledgers in the run-up and won't return these invented funds easily.
I don't know which is worse, as I never lived through a bank panic.
Being able to buy bread, even when Lehman brothers collapsed was good.
Realizing that large portions of the financial sector are subsidized by us, is bad.
How to unravel this? That's above my pay grade.